November Round Up: Rates Falling

Written by: Realty Times Staff

In Freddie Mac's results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.97 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending November 26, 2008, down from the previous week when it averaged 6.04 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.10 percent. The 30-year FRM has not been this low since October 9, 2008, when it was 5.94 percent.

The 15-year FRM this week averaged 5.74 percent with an average 0.7 point, up slightly from the previous week when it averaged 5.73 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.73 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 5.86 percent, with an average 0.6 point, down slightly from the previous week when it averaged 5.87 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 5.86 percent.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 5.18 percent with an average 0.5 point, down from the previous week when it averaged 5.29 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 5.43 percent.

"Interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell for the fourth consecutive week as signs the overall economy is flagging lowered most interest rates market-wide," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "And economic growth in the third quarter was revised downward this week, led by the first decline in consumer spending since the fourth quarter of 1991 and the largest drop since the second quarter of 1980.

"However, declining house prices and low mortgage rates have raised housing affordability in September to the highest level since February of this year, according to the National Association of Realtors®."

Buyers With Great Credit Scores in Driver's Seat:

Potential home buyers with great credit scores, enough cash for a 20 percent down payment, and some determination can get a very good deal right now.

"There are a lot of hungry mortgage originators, so great credit-quality borrowers are in the driver's seat," says Keith T. Gumbinger, vice-president of HSH, a mortgage market analyst.

Borrowers need a credit score of at least 750 to get the best deals. Keeping credit-card balances below 35 percent of their credit line is very important, but 20 percent is the maximum allowed for a top score.

Buyers in a strong-enough position can ask sellers to agree to a contingency clause that gives them an out if they can't get the best interest rate on a mortgage.

Tax Credits Give Solar Power a Boost:

A series of tax credits for wind, solar, geothermal, tidal energy and others was among the tenets of the October congressional financial rescue legislation.

The law increased the investment credit for solar from $2,000 to $7,500 for a buyer who spends $25,000 to install solar panels on his roof.

In states like California, Connecticut, and New Jersey, where the cost of power is considerable, the pretax compound rate of return on a typical home solar system will be greater than 15 percent per year, says Andy Black, CEO of OnGrid Solar, an industry research firm.

Home builders, including some of the biggest, such as Centex, Lennar, Pulte Homes, and Woodside Homes, are seeing advantages to including solar. All are developing successful communities where all of the homes have solar panels capable of making most if not all power.

More First-Time Buyers Entering the Market:

The 2008 National Association of REALTORS® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers reveals that the number of first-time buyers have risen as a percentage of the market share and they plan to own their homes longer than buyers in the past.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said a higher share of first-time buyers makes perfect sense, and it's a trend he expects to grow.

"First-time buyers are much more flexible in entering the market because they aren't concerned about selling an existing home," he said. "Given low home prices, plentiful supply, and affordable interest rates, it's been an optimal time for entry-level buyers with a long-term view.

"Considering the temporary first-time buyer tax credit and improvements to the FHA loan program, we expect stronger entry-level activity as the flow of credit improves – that, in turn, should free more existing owners to make a trade in 2009."

The number of first-time buyers rose to 41 percent from 39 percent of transactions in last year's survey and 36 percent in 2006. "Although modest, this is a meaningful gain for the 12-month period ending at the close of June, and more recent independent data show a stronger uptrend in first-time buyers who are helping to reduce excess inventory," Yun said.

According to the NAR study, the median age of first-time buyers was 30, down from 31 in 2007, and the median income was $60,600. The typical first-time buyer purchased a home costing $165,000 and plans to stay in that home for 10 years, up from seven years in 2007.

The median down payment by first-time buyers was 4 percent, up from 2 percent in 2007; the number purchasing with no money down fell from 45 percent in 2007 to 34 percent in the current survey.

"The study covers transactions through the middle of 2008, so we can assume the down payment numbers have shifted recently because credit tightened and no-down payment loans all but disappeared around the close of the survey," Yun explained.

Of first-time buyers who made a down payment, 69 percent used savings and 26 percent received a gift from a friend or relative, typically from their parents. Another 7 percent received a loan from a relative or friend, while 16 percent tapped into a 401(k) fund, stocks or bonds. Ninety-two percent chose a fixed-rate mortgage.

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